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How many copies did Dark Forest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before the cut
from 15 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dark Forest out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122–30k
best case 109k (HYPER DEMON)
Games like Dark Forest

The middle of these games

≈ 122–30k copies

≈ $231–$90k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: HYPER DEMON at ≈ 83k–135k copies, ≈ $343k–$924k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 793.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Arena Shooter, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fox4Elite
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$261–$700 after Steam's cut $475–$1k before the cut
$18.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
CrimSaw
2024
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Nixxsz Maids Blazing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before the cut
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4 reviews
4 user reviews
Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Drunken Robot Pornography
2014
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$152k–$408k after Steam's cut $276k–$628k before the cut
$14.99
658 reviews
Very Positive
Arena ShooterBullet Hell
ONE DAY for Ched
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before the cut
$2.99
319 reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS
ZSG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before the cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
AdventureCasual
Grandma's Cheese
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$149–$400 after Steam's cut $270–$615 before the cut
$0.99
22 reviews
Positive
Action3D Fighter
HYPER DEMON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
149x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$343k–$924k after Steam's cut $625k–$1.4M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter

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