wishvane Pick your genre, see what's realistic
Each example holds out one real game and predicts it from its similar games, so you can see the honest range a genre produces before betting months on a concept. Most of these held-out games are reasonably successful indies, not breakout hits, because that's the realistic middle.
- Deckbuilder roguelite
How big can Balatro get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the deckbuilder roguelite example → - Roguelike deckbuilder
How big can Fights in Tight Spaces get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the roguelike deckbuilder example → - Roguelite action
How big can Curse of the Dead Gods get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the roguelite action example → - Horde survival
How big can Death Must Die get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the horde survival example → - Twin-stick shooter
How big can Nova Drift get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the twin-stick shooter example → - FPS roguelite
How big can Roboquest get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the fps roguelite example → - Dice roguelike
How big can Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the dice roguelike example → - Retro FPS
How big can CULTIC get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the retro fps example → - Soulslike
How big can Thymesia get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the soulslike example → - Metroidvania
How big can Islets get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the metroidvania example → - Colony sim
How big can Clanfolk get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the colony sim example → - Automation / factory
How big can Captain of Industry get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the automation / factory example → - City builder
How big can Foundation get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the city builder example → - Management tycoon
How big can Software Inc. get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the management tycoon example → - Turn-based tactics
How big can Urtuk: The Desolation get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the turn-based tactics example → - Survival craft
How big can Core Keeper get?
Held out and predicted from its 3 similar games.
See the survival craft example → - Action tower defense
How big can Sanctum 2 get?
Held out and predicted from its 3 similar games.
See the action tower defense example → - Cozy farming sim
How big can Sun Haven get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the cozy farming sim example → - Chill job sim
How big can Gas Station Simulator get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the chill job sim example → - Traditional roguelike
How big can Jupiter Hell get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the traditional roguelike example → - Co-op horror
How big can DEVOUR get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the co-op horror example → - Single-player horror
How big can The Mortuary Assistant get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the single-player horror example → - Narrative adventure
How big can The Vanishing of Ethan Carter get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the narrative adventure example → - Cozy adventure
How big can Lil Gator Game get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the cozy adventure example → - Puzzle
How big can Patrick's Parabox get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the puzzle example → - Puzzle platformer
How big can The Swapper get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the puzzle platformer example → - Precision platformer
How big can Splasher get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the precision platformer example → - Party physics
How big can Pummel Party get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the party physics example → - Visual novel
How big can Necrobarista get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the visual novel example → - Indie JRPG
How big can Chained Echoes get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the indie jrpg example → - Rhythm
How big can Melatonin get?
Held out and predicted from its 4 similar games.
See the rhythm example →