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How many copies did Flux Caves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
from 71 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Flux Caves out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flux Caves's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–54k
best case 54k (Hexologic)
Games like Flux Caves

The middle of these games

≈ 18k–54k copies

≈ $70k–$190k after Steam's cut

from ~783 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hexologic at ≈ 41k–67k copies, ≈ $57k–$152k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 40 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 30 to 177.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Logic + Puzzle, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

THE IMPOSSIBLE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before the cut
$4.99
583 reviews
Very Positive
Mess Adventures
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before the cut
$2.99
514 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFunny
Toodee and Topdee
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$119k–$319k after Steam's cut $216k–$491k before the cut
$19.99
871 reviews
Very Positive
ControllerPuzzle
King Rabbit - Puzzle
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
331 reviews
Very Positive
About Love, Hate and the other ones
2014
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$104k–$279k after Steam's cut $189k–$429k before the cut
$7.99
843 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanCasual
Death Squared
2017
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $186k–$424k before the cut
$14.99
723 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleLocal Co-Op
Hexologic
2018
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before the cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPuzzle
Akin
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$233k before the cut
$4.99
985 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie

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