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How big is TrackMania Nations Forever?

Estimated owners
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left TrackMania Nations Forever out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TrackMania Nations Forever's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–29.3M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like TrackMania Nations Forever

The middle of these games

≈ 4.8M–29.3M copies

≈ $69.5M–$138.2M after Steam's cut

from ~238k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 47k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 115 to 122k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Racing (4 of 8) and Automobile Sim (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2026, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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RacingAutomobile Sim
Rocket League®
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MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
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Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
BeamNG.drive
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≈ 20.3M–33.0M
1.7x vs typical
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$139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut
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416k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
4.2x vs typical
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$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Forza Horizon 4
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RacingOpen World
Scrap Mechanic
2026
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BuildingSandbox
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Free to PlayBattle Royale

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.