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How many copies did AREA 51 - DEFENCE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 518–842
$141–$380 after Steam's cut $256–$584 before the cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left AREA 51 - DEFENCE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AREA 51 - DEFENCE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–452k
best case 5.8M (Saints Row: The Third)
Games like AREA 51 - DEFENCE

The middle of these games

≈ 5k–452k copies

≈ $3k–$36k after Steam's cut

from ~528 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Memes (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Saints Row: The Third at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 386.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Memes (4 of 8) and Satire (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Comedy, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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