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How many copies did Murder by Numbers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$712k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Murder by Numbers out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Murder by Numbers's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 162k–404k
best case 580k (Sanfu)
Games like Murder by Numbers

The middle of these games

≈ 162k–404k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sanfu at ≈ 442k–719k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 773 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Detective (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mystery + Drama, priced around $11.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.3x vs typical
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