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How many copies did Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
from 128k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20.5M–27.2M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 20.5M–27.2M copies

≈ $173.7M–$317.3M after Steam's cut

from ~439k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 5) and Third Person (2 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.6M–25.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$172.0M–$462.5M after Steam's cut $312.8M–$711.6M before the cut
$39.99
376k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut
$59.99
439k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.