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How big is Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition?

Estimated owners
≈ 70k–114k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 4.4M (House Flipper)
Games like Frog Fractions: Game of the Decade Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $7.8M–$19.0M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: House Flipper at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $23.3M–$62.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (6 of 8) and Education (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Design & Illustration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Design & Illustration + Relaxing + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$29.99
32k reviews
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SandboxSpace
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
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≈ 868k–1.4M
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$2.99
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AnimeNudity
Cell to Singularity - Evolution Never Ends
2021
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≈ 693k–1.1M
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ClickerFree to Play
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
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NudityMature
City Car Driving
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.7M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.6M before the cut
$24.99
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SimulationDriving
World of Guns: Gun Disassembly
2014
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
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Free to PlaySimulation
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.5M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.3M–$62.6M after Steam's cut $42.3M–$96.3M before the cut
$24.99
111k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.