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How many copies did Spider Queen cave sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before the cut
from 207 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Spider Queen cave out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spider Queen cave's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–4.7M
best case 22.3M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Spider Queen cave

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–4.7M copies

≈ $18.3M–$65.2M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.0M–27.6M copies, ≈ $93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (5 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$14.8M–$39.8M after Steam's cut $26.9M–$61.2M before the cut
$49.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction-Adventure
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.5M before the cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 887k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.2M after Steam's cut $17.7M–$40.3M before the cut
$39.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 378k–615k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.2M–$143.0M after Steam's cut $96.7M–$220.1M before the cut
$29.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.0M–27.6M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut $169.9M–$386.6M before the cut
$19.99
269k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction

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