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How many copies did 1428: Shadows over Silesia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before the cut
from 280 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left 1428: Shadows over Silesia out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 1428: Shadows over Silesia's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–6.4M
best case 7.4M (Kingdom Come: Deliverance)
Games like 1428: Shadows over Silesia

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–6.4M copies

≈ $14.9M–$55.8M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Kingdom Come: Deliverance at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Historical (8 of 8) and Medieval (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$39.99
91k reviews
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StrategyCity Builder
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.5M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.3M before the cut
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StrategyMedieval
Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.0M after Steam's cut $64.9M–$147.8M before the cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
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Grand StrategyStrategy
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut
$29.99
185k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA
2018
Est. copies
≈ 452k–735k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before the cut
$39.99
15k reviews
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StrategyHistorical
Stronghold Crusader 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$46.0M before the cut
$39.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Mount & Blade: With Fire & Sword
2011
Est. copies
≈ 887k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before the cut
$9.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
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