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How many copies did BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before the cut
from 988 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 450k–665k
best case 4.7M (Soundpad)
Games like BEAR, VODKA, STALINGRAD!🐻

The middle of these games

≈ 450k–665k copies

≈ $223k–$494k after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Soundpad at ≈ 3.6M–5.8M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (2 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Audio Production, priced around $7.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Montaro
2016
Est. copies
≈ 507k–823k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$138k–$371k after Steam's cut $251k–$570k before the cut
$0.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MemesCute
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 489k–795k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before the cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
Bean Battles
2018
Est. copies
≈ 308k–500k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$84k–$225k after Steam's cut $152k–$347k before the cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerAction
Genital Jousting
2018
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Sakura Clicker
2015
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
NudityFree to Play
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.