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How many copies did Battlefield™ Hardline sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 134k–217k
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Battlefield™ Hardline out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Battlefield™ Hardline's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.1M–10.2M
best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Battlefield™ Hardline

The middle of these games

≈ 8.1M–10.2M copies

≈ $74.9M–$157.6M after Steam's cut

from ~235k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 57k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 165k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry e-sports; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$91.9M–$247.0M after Steam's cut $167.0M–$380.0M before the cut
$49.99
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Insurgency
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.4M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before the cut
$14.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Battlefield™ 2042
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$133.2M–$358.1M after Steam's cut $242.2M–$550.9M before the cut
$59.99
326k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 620.0M–1007.5M
42x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.8M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.5M–$90.1M after Steam's cut $60.9M–$138.7M before the cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
781k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Battlefield™ 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$61.8M–$166.1M after Steam's cut $112.3M–$255.6M before the cut
$39.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.2M–$178.0M after Steam's cut $120.4M–$273.9M before the cut
$39.99
243k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic

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