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How many copies did Alt254 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 26 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alt254 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alt254's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–19k
best case 422k (Viewfinder)
Games like Alt254

The middle of these games

≈ 13k–19k copies

≈ $17k–$61k after Steam's cut

from ~440 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Viewfinder at ≈ 322k–523k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 69 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 30 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (7 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Psychological + Abstract + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mess Adventures
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before the cut
$2.99
514 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFunny
The Deletion
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$1.99
228 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Kairo
2013
Est. copies
≈ 111k–180k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$152k–$409k after Steam's cut $277k–$629k before the cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleExploration
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before the cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
qop 3
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before the cut
$1.99
542 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Ginkgo
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
340 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
Recursive Ruin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before the cut
$14.99
326 reviews
Mostly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
幽灵高校(Ghost College)
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
440 reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.