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How many copies did Little Hats sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before the cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Little Hats out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Hats's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.8M–38.5M
best case 55.6M (Rust)
Games like Little Hats

The middle of these games

≈ 27.8M–38.5M copies

≈ $203.3M–$339.2M after Steam's cut

from ~612k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.4M–68.9M copies, ≈ $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 999 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 143 to 132k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (8 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before the cut
$14.99
542k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.7M–43.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut
$14.99
776k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.2M–49.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$207.3M–$557.3M after Steam's cut $376.9M–$857.4M before the cut
$24.99
477k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Valheim
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13.4M–21.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.6M–$297.4M after Steam's cut $201.1M–$457.5M before the cut
$29.99
541k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Elder Legacy: Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
$9.99
231 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessMythology
Dawn of Defiance
2024
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft

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