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How many copies did Recipe for Disaster sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before the cut
from 724 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Recipe for Disaster out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Recipe for Disaster's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 325k–655k
best case 879k (PlateUp!)
Games like Recipe for Disaster

The middle of these games

≈ 325k–655k copies

≈ $923k–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: PlateUp! at ≈ 670k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Cooking (3 of 3) and Management (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Management, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Good Pizza, Great Pizza - Cooking Simulator Game
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$459k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $835k–$1.9M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyManagement
Papa's Freezeria Deluxe
2023
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$541k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $984k–$2.2M before the cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingTime Management
PlateUp!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670k–1.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.