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How many copies did Serum: Toxic Survival sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before the cut
from 313 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Serum: Toxic Survival out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Serum: Toxic Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–36k
best case 381k (魔女的夜宴)
Games like Serum: Toxic Survival

The middle of these games

≈ 18k–36k copies

≈ $29k–$101k after Steam's cut

from ~773 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 魔女的夜宴 at ≈ 290k–472k copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 231 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 83 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (6 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + FPS, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Sexual Content + Hentai + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
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Maurice: In The Predator's Nest
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Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
2.7x vs typical
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魔女的夜宴
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Est. copies
≈ 290k–472k
15x vs typical
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Sexual ContentFPS
Bloodwash
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≈ 35k–56k
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$76k–$204k after Steam's cut $138k–$314k before the cut
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[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護
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≈ 11k–19k
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AnimeCute

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