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How many copies did My Cute Pagangirl sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
from 128 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left My Cute Pagangirl out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Cute Pagangirl's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–640k
best case 3.4M (Mirror)
Games like My Cute Pagangirl

The middle of these games

≈ 38k–640k copies

≈ $29k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 515 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 343 to 699.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Nudity (8 of 8) and Sexual Content (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
9.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
CATGIRL LOVER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before the cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Miss Neko 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$97k–$262k after Steam's cut $177k–$403k before the cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Hell Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Happy Quest
2020
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before the cut
$1.99
879 reviews
Very Positive
CasualNudity
Miss Neko 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before the cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Mirror Maker
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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