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How many copies did Islets sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–99k
$336k–$902k after Steam's cut $610k–$1.4M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Islets out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Islets's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–8.2M
best case 25.3M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Islets

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–8.2M copies

≈ $11.3M–$54.9M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.2M–31.3M copies, ≈ $79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Metroidvania (4 of 4) and Souls-like (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GRIME
2021
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before the cut
$24.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before the cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.