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wishvane

How many copies did Coldage sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$858–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 9 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Coldage out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Coldage's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391–2k
best case 23k (BE-A Walker)
Games like Coldage

The middle of these games

≈ 391–2k copies

≈ $673–$754 after Steam's cut

from ~14 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 5 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 5), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BE-A Walker at ≈ 17k–28k copies, ≈ $47k–$127k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 165.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (2 of 5) and Hand-drawn (2 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shoot 'Em Up + Experimental, priced around $10.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BE-A Walker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
50x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$196k before the cut
$9.99
696 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpDifficult
Shadow Walls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$365–$980 after Steam's cut $663–$2k before the cut
$0.99
54 reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectSurvival
Before Sunset 台山
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before the cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
HorrorMystery
All is Fair in Dust and Air
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Mostly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
Panacle: Back To Wild
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before the cut
$3.99
14 reviews
Mixed
Trading Card GameTurn-Based Strategy

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.