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How many copies did Earthling's Undertaking sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$75k–$203k after Steam's cut $137k–$312k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Earthling's Undertaking out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Earthling's Undertaking's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 96k–124k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Earthling's Undertaking

The middle of these games

≈ 96k–124k copies

≈ $682k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 198 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choose Your Own Adventure (3 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Management + Tactical RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
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≈ 5.6M–9.1M
81x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.