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How many copies did Spelldrifter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Spelldrifter out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Spelldrifter's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 93k–591k
best case 791k (Marvel's Midnight Suns)
Games like Spelldrifter

The middle of these games

≈ 93k–591k copies

≈ $770k–$9.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Marvel's Midnight Suns at ≈ 603k–980k copies, ≈ $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 523 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Tactical RPG (4 of 4) and Turn-Based Tactics (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Superhero + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $60.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 399k–649k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before the cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 603k–980k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before the cut
$59.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Trials of Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$444k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $808k–$1.8M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$338k–$910k after Steam's cut $615k–$1.4M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.