How much revenue did Noble Fates make?

$253k–$680k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noble Fates sell?

Q: How many copies did Noble Fates sell?

37k to 60k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–60k; $253k–$680k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before the cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Noble Fates out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Noble Fates's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–6.0M

best case 9.8M (RimWorld)

Games like Noble Fates

The middle of these games

≈ 2.5M–6.0M copies

≈ $37.8M–$74.2M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.5M–12.1M copies, ≈ $71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Base-Building (4 of 4) and Management (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut	$39.99	91k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut	$34.99	246k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 926k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut	$29.99	37k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Prison Architect 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.8M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$122.7M before the cut	$29.99	74k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding