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How many copies did Atomic Picnic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$317k before the cut
from 562 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Atomic Picnic out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Atomic Picnic's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 907k–2.9M
best case 11.4M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Atomic Picnic

The middle of these games

≈ 907k–2.9M copies

≈ $6.7M–$11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Co-op + Looter Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 663k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before the cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
PlateUp!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.4M before the cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain Returns
2023
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeOnline Co-Op
Risk of Rain (2013)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before the cut
$9.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before the cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content

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