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How many copies did Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$62k–$167k after Steam's cut $113k–$257k before the cut
from 537 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–780k
best case 1.2M (BlazBlue Entropy Effect)
Games like Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–780k copies

≈ $15k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is 2D Platformer (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BlazBlue Entropy Effect at ≈ 898k–1.5M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 214 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Action-Adventure, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darksiders™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 816k–1.3M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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ActionAdventure
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before the cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition
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Est. copies
≈ 521k–846k
5.7x vs typical
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$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
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≈ 52k–85k
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$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $130k–$296k before the cut
$4.99
2k reviews
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Precision Platformer2D Platformer
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
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2D PlatformerExploration
Heroine Anthem Zero 2 : Scalescars Oath
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Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
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$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before the cut
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≈ 2k–3k
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Very Positive
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