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How many copies did OCTOPATH TRAVELER II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 430k–699k
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before the cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left OCTOPATH TRAVELER II out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OCTOPATH TRAVELER II's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 935k–1.3M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like OCTOPATH TRAVELER II

The middle of these games

≈ 935k–1.3M copies

≈ $13.1M–$18.9M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and JRPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.7M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.8M before the cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth
2024
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before the cut
$69.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
ActionJRPG
FINAL FANTASY VII
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
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Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Yakuza: Like a Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 928k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
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RPGAdventure
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.9M–$91.1M after Steam's cut $61.6M–$140.1M before the cut
$29.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGComedy

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