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How many copies did Sonic Adventure 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before the cut
from 28k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sonic Adventure 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sonic Adventure 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–7.8M
best case 15.3M (Fall Guys)
Games like Sonic Adventure 2

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–7.8M copies

≈ $17.0M–$37.5M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.1M–$40.7M after Steam's cut $27.5M–$62.7M before the cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.5M before the cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Sonic Generations Collection
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
469k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.1M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before the cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 704k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.8M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.0M before the cut
$39.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World

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