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How many copies did Mirthwood sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 59k–96k
$404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mirthwood out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Mirthwood's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 108k–888k
best case 1.7M (Forager)
Games like Mirthwood

The middle of these games

≈ 108k–888k copies

≈ $736k–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Forager at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $7.0M–$18.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World Survival Craft (3 of 3) and Sandbox (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forager
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.8M before the cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Nova Lands
2023
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$480k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $873k–$2.0M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Outpath
2023
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBase-Building

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.