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wishvane

How many copies did 10,000,000 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 150k–243k
$205k–$552k after Steam's cut $374k–$850k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left 10,000,000 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 10,000,000's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 241k–646k
best case 3.4M (Mirror)
Games like 10,000,000

The middle of these games

≈ 241k–646k copies

≈ $955k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Nudity + Mature + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 513k–834k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$704k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Hell Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Gems of War - Puzzle RPG
2014
Est. copies
≈ 605k–984k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMatch 3
The Legend of Bum-Bo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$704k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteIndie
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 429k–697k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$588k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Zuma's Revenge!
2009
Est. copies
≈ 222k–361k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$305k–$820k after Steam's cut $555k–$1.3M before the cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.