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How many copies did Second Wave sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
from 205 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Second Wave out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Second Wave's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 207k–482k
best case 702k (NEKOPARA Vol. 2)
Games like Second Wave

The middle of these games

≈ 207k–482k copies

≈ $645k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NEKOPARA Vol. 2 at ≈ 535k–869k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on MOBA (5 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
Battleborn
2016
Est. copies
≈ 404k–657k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Mixed
Hero ShooterFPS
AirMech
2018
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Story of White Stone State
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
$5.99
57 reviews
Mostly Negative
IndieRPG
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo
2021
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSSexual Content
Gigantic
2017
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Tanki Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 242k–394k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayTanks
AXYOS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$94k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before the cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Hero ShooterFPS

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.