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How big is Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4?

Estimated owners
≈ 9k–15k
from 372 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4 out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 6k (This Way Madness Lies)
Games like Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $4k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~75 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: This Way Madness Lies at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $13k–$35k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 64.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on JRPG (6 of 6) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Comedy, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of your 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Very Positive
Case 02: Paranormal Evil
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JRPGTurn-Based Combat
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RPGMakerLovecraftian
Skautfold: Knight's End
2021
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≈ 645–1k
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Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
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RPGJRPG
This Way Madness Lies
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before the cut
$9.99
191 reviews
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JRPGRPG
Feline Realms - The Ancients' Legacy
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Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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JRPGFunny

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