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wishvane

How many copies did Outlast sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
from 138k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Outlast out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Outlast's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.9M–35.9M
best case 87.5M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Outlast

The middle of these games

≈ 13.9M–35.9M copies

≈ $161.4M–$343.7M after Steam's cut

from ~424k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 66.7M–108.4M copies, ≈ $183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 4) and Open World (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut
$49.99
469k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.