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How many copies did Barbie Project Friendship™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before the cut
from 82 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Barbie Project Friendship™ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Barbie Project Friendship™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–5.9M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Barbie Project Friendship™

The middle of these games

≈ 3.3M–5.9M copies

≈ $12.9M–$73.6M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Software (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Software (3 of 8) and Utilities (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Anime + Design & Illustration + Animation & Modeling; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Souls-likeDark Fantasy
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VRSoftware
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
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UtilitiesAudio Production
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
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Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Clicker Heroes
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
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ClickerIdler
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before the cut
$14.99
75k reviews
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MultiplayerCasual
Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut
$19.99
157k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration

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