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How many copies did Offworld Trading Company sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 237k–386k
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Offworld Trading Company out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Offworld Trading Company's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 480k–634k
best case 3.0M (Manor Lords)
Games like Offworld Trading Company

The middle of these games

≈ 480k–634k copies

≈ $1.9M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Building (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Manor Lords at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies, ≈ $24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Building (2 of 8) and City Builder (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Education, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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ActionSniper

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.