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How many copies did Seedsow Lullaby sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$321k before the cut
from 542 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Seedsow Lullaby out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Seedsow Lullaby's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 210k–2.0M
best case 5.7M (Everlasting Summer)
Games like Seedsow Lullaby

The middle of these games

≈ 210k–2.0M copies

≈ $686k–$11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Everlasting Summer at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 717 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles
2021
Est. copies
≈ 234k–381k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版
2022
Est. copies
≈ 135k–220k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$372k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $677k–$1.5M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OtomeFemale Protagonist
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
You, With Me - A Kinetic Novel
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$962–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$2.99
34 reviews
Mostly Negative
Visual NovelText-Based
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before the cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
他人世界末 On-looker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74k–120k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$182k–$490k after Steam's cut $331k–$754k before the cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
Winter Polaris
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before the cut
$14.99
97 reviews
Very Positive
CasualGore

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