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How many copies did Arctic Eggs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 151k–245k
$415k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $754k–$1.7M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arctic Eggs out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arctic Eggs's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.4M–30.9M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like Arctic Eggs

The middle of these games

≈ 18.4M–30.9M copies

≈ $71.0M–$119.1M after Steam's cut

from ~421k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 67k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (5 of 8) and Cooking (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.4M–17.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$28.7M–$77.0M after Steam's cut $52.1M–$118.5M before the cut
$9.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.6M–28.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut $87.9M–$200.0M before the cut
$9.99
278k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
CyberCook
2025
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$796–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$8.99
13 reviews
Positive
ExplorationCyberpunk
All Hail The Cook-o-tron
2020
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$7.99
22 reviews
Mixed
SimulationAction
Cyber Puncake
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$96–$257 after Steam's cut $175–$396 before the cut
$6.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SimulationCasual
Bonkies
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before the cut
$14.99
43 reviews
Positive
BuildingPuzzle
French Fries Pusher Friends
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$3.99
45 reviews
Mixed
Time ManagementBullet Hell

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