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How many copies did Desert Special Forces sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before the cut
from 41 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Desert Special Forces out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Desert Special Forces's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–7k
best case 17k (GOAL! The Club Manager)
Games like Desert Special Forces

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–7k copies

≈ $5k–$62k after Steam's cut

from ~81 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GOAL! The Club Manager at ≈ 13k–21k copies, ≈ $106k–$286k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5 to 185.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sports (8 of 8) and Grand Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Football (Soccer), priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Magatch
2025
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
$9.99
35 reviews
Mixed
CasualSports
GOAL! The Club Manager
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before the cut
$29.99
520 reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessSports
Club Manager 2016
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before the cut
$19.99
101 reviews
Mixed
SportsSimulation
Axis Football 2024
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before the cut
$19.99
208 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSports
Deadblast
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
$9.99
31 reviews
Mixed
CasualAdventure
Rugby Union Team Manager 4
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before the cut
$39.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsSimulation
Starters Orders 7 Horse Racing
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before the cut
$34.99
176 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorsesSimulation
Pro Football
2024
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
$11.99
34 reviews
Positive
Sportse-sports

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