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How many copies did Utopia Must Fall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 32k–52k
$80k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$330k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Utopia Must Fall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Utopia Must Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49–2k
best case 26.7M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like Utopia Must Fall

The middle of these games

≈ 49–2k copies

≈ $114–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.3M–33.0M copies, ≈ $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 459.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arcade (6 of 8) and Bowling (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Driving + Destruction + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Early AccessRhythm
BeamNG.drive
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SimulationDriving
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BowlingVR

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