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How many copies did Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 675k–1.1M
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut
from 20k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sniper Ghost Warrior 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 472k–1.7M
best case 2.8M (Sniper Elite 4)
Games like Sniper Ghost Warrior 3

The middle of these games

≈ 472k–1.7M copies

≈ $6.0M–$21.6M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sniper Elite 4 at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.7M–$96.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sniper + Shooter, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zombie Army Trilogy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 911k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.3M–$30.3M after Steam's cut $20.5M–$46.6M before the cut
$44.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts
2019
Est. copies
≈ 381k–618k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSniper
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.0M after Steam's cut $64.9M–$147.7M before the cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Sniper Elite 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 748k–1.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before the cut
$49.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSniper
Sniper Elite: Nazi Zombie Army
2013
Est. copies
≈ 297k–483k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before the cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before the cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
SniperAction
Sniper Elite 3
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.1M–$35.2M after Steam's cut $23.8M–$54.1M before the cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Zombie Army 4: Dead War
2021
Est. copies
≈ 290k–471k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before the cut
$49.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction

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