How much revenue did Oxenfree make?

$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Oxenfree sell?

Q: How many copies did Oxenfree sell?

504k to 819k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 504k–819k; $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut; from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Oxenfree out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Oxenfree's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.4M–32.1M

best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)

Games like Oxenfree

The middle of these games

≈ 7.4M–32.1M copies

≈ $129.7M–$634.6M after Steam's cut

from ~188k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 3) and Historical (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era: None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut	$29.99	185k reviews Very Positive	MedievalRPG
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut	$59.99	188k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.2M–70.2M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut	$49.99	885k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG