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How many copies did Osiris: New Dawn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 374k–608k
from 15k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Osiris: New Dawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Osiris: New Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.7M–29.0M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Osiris: New Dawn

The middle of these games

≈ 17.7M–29.0M copies

≈ $175.2M–$226.4M after Steam's cut

from ~518k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (8 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before the cut
$14.99
542k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$122.7M–$330.0M after Steam's cut $223.1M–$507.7M before the cut
$44.99
400k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Don't Starve
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$52.9M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.4M before the cut
$9.99
113k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Long Dark
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.9M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before the cut
$19.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.