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How many copies did Tales of Berseria™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 650k–1.1M
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before the cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tales of Berseria™ out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales of Berseria™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–3.0M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Tales of Berseria™

The middle of these games

≈ 2.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $22.0M–$22.1M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 5) and JRPG (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + JRPG, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry JRPG + Female Protagonist + Hack and Slash; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.8M before the cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Yakuza 0
2018
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≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Story RichAction
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut
$59.99
139k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.