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How many copies did Oxygen Not Included sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
$28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.7M–$117.5M before the cut
from 144k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Oxygen Not Included out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Oxygen Not Included's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.6M
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Oxygen Not Included

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–3.6M copies

≈ $22.8M–$50.1M after Steam's cut

from ~71k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on City Builder (3 of 4) and Survival (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of your 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before the cut
$29.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.8M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.5M before the cut
$29.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before the cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.