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How many copies did ESEA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 172k–280k
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ESEA out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ESEA's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.2M–45.6M
best case 132.9M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like ESEA

The middle of these games

≈ 18.2M–45.6M copies

≈ $77.9M–$735.9M after Steam's cut

from ~930k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Mature (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.3M–164.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 291 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 326k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Mature (4 of 8) and Animation & Modeling (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.2M–42.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$432.5M–$1162.8M after Steam's cut $786.3M–$1788.9M before the cut
$59.99
910k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$399.0M–$1072.8M after Steam's cut $725.5M–$1650.4M before the cut
$59.99
975k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.7M–62.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut $386.7M–$879.7M before the cut
$19.99
930k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
HAELE 3D - Feet Poses Lite - Drawing References
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
$17.99
24 reviews
Positive
Design & IllustrationAnimation & Modeling
VTube Studio
2021
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndieMature

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