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wishvane

How many copies did Mount & Blade: Warband sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
$59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut $108.6M–$247.1M before the cut
from 172k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mount & Blade: Warband out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Mount & Blade: Warband's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.9M–33.9M
best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)
Games like Mount & Blade: Warband

The middle of these games

≈ 7.9M–33.9M copies

≈ $141.6M–$426.6M after Steam's cut

from ~255k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 4) and Fantasy (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of your 4 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$70.7M–$190.0M after Steam's cut $128.5M–$292.3M before the cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before the cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$78.8M–$211.9M after Steam's cut $143.3M–$326.0M before the cut
$59.99
193k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMedieval
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut
$49.99
885k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.