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How many copies did Red Trigger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 84k–136k
$161k–$433k after Steam's cut $293k–$666k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Red Trigger out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Trigger's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 126k–4.5M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like Red Trigger

The middle of these games

≈ 126k–4.5M copies

≈ $474k–$34.0M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 440k–714k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
129x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hamilton's Great Adventure
2011
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$167k after Steam's cut $113k–$256k before the cut
$9.99
357 reviews
Mostly Positive
Local Co-OpAdventure
DeadCore
2014
Est. copies
≈ 115k–186k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAction
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $954k–$2.2M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
The Ball
2010
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$200k–$537k after Steam's cut $363k–$827k before the cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer
Grimhook
2023
Est. copies
≈ 104k–168k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionAdventure

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