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wishvane

How many copies did Hello Neighbor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.2M before the cut
from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hello Neighbor out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Hello Neighbor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 832k–15.6M
best case 31.7M (Dying Light)
Games like Hello Neighbor

The middle of these games

≈ 832k–15.6M copies

≈ $3.9M–$135.5M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.1M–39.2M copies, ≈ $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 4) and Open World (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Far Cry®
2008
Est. copies
≈ 743k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before the cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Amnesia: The Bunker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 308k–500k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before the cut
$24.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.