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How many copies did Outscape sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
from 416 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Outscape out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outscape's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–7.8M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like Outscape

The middle of these games

≈ 2.9M–7.8M copies

≈ $7.9M–$77.1M after Steam's cut

from ~91k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Evolve Stage 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMultiplayer
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PlanetSide 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.4M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.1M before the cut
$19.99
107k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
111k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op

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