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wishvane

How many copies did Life is Strange: Before the Storm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before the cut
from 38k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Life is Strange: Before the Storm out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Life is Strange: Before the Storm's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.5M–39.2M
best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)
Games like Life is Strange: Before the Storm

The middle of these games

≈ 14.5M–39.2M copies

≈ $84.6M–$590.5M after Steam's cut

from ~338k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 3) and Open World (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut
$49.99
885k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut
$29.99
185k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.