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How many copies did Darkwater sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–47k
$80k–$215k after Steam's cut $145k–$330k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Darkwater out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darkwater's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27.2M–50.8M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Darkwater

The middle of these games

≈ 27.2M–50.8M copies

≈ $139.8M–$255.5M after Steam's cut

from ~681k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 131 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4 to 43k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (7 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2026, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Barotrauma
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.4M–$65.5M after Steam's cut $44.3M–$100.8M before the cut
$39.99
89k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.7M–62.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut $386.7M–$879.7M before the cut
$19.99
930k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before the cut
$14.99
542k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Subterene
2021
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54–$145 after Steam's cut $98–$223 before the cut
$0.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
AdventureSimulation
INFLUXIS
2026
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
257 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessOpen World
Sunken Veins
2025
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$8.99
25 reviews
Positive
Early AccessResource Management

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