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wishvane

How big is b?

Estimated owners
≈ 145k–235k
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left b out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including b's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–7.3M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like b

The middle of these games

≈ 3.4M–7.3M copies

≈ $24.3M–$62.0M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.6M after Steam's cut $19.4M–$44.1M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
227k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.4M before the cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
AdVenture Capitalist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.3M–$70.8M after Steam's cut $47.9M–$108.9M before the cut
$19.99
85k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.8M before the cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFighting
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.1M–$97.0M after Steam's cut $65.6M–$149.2M before the cut
$39.99
95k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.